Grace Hagenson
AP American Literature
J. Robinson
December 2007
The Battle that Will Decide the War
No one could have foreseen the events that took place within the last eight years of the Bush administration. On September 11, 2001, innocent citizens were murdered in New York City and our nation’s capital. The cries of outrage were heard. George W. Bush declared a War on Terror; however, the terror in the Middle East has yet to subside. With a violation of national security, the immigration flag went up, and along with it shouts of concern about our unprotected borders. The generation of children whose parents were killed on September 11, whose parents went to fight a battle in Iraq, who have seen the huge divide in the country over this war, are now filled with fervor. These children will be voting come November 2008. Andrew Kohut, director of the nonpartisan Pew center, said “This is the first time since the 1970s that young people have voted significantly differently than the rest of the country. I think it’s the times. It’s the war.” (Milligan) Because of these traumatic events that have occurred during the Bush administration, the election of 2008 will be one of intense passion, and also one in which the youth of America are predicted to be a compelling force.
The Issues
Along with the core issue that Americans are focusing on-the War on Terror-there are many other questions that we want answered. How can we shake the chains of foreign fuel dependence? What novel energy resources can replace oil? What is the best health care choice for the majority of citizens? How should the United States handle the impending immigration crisis? How can we bring our troops back safely, while still protecting our security on home soil? What role should the federal government play in education? America wants a candidate that can confidently answer these questions. From which party will this magical candidate arise? Thus far the youth of America are looking toward a Democrat. Membership director of the UCSB College Democrats, Evan Ingardia, said “I think Obama is really focusing on the youth more so than the others. Optimizing social network groups is a really prominent thing going on right now. I wouldn’t be surprised if during election time candidates started text messaging.” (Snedden) Text messaging is an unknown, but candidates are definitely starting to target college age students, with new internet phenomenons such as facebook and myspace. There are 18 million students projected to be enrolled in college this year, which is a very large and liberal voting arena. “College age students are obviously very well educated, so they look like a high potential group and are concentrated in a certain area, so they are geographically appealing,” said chairman of the Dept. of Political Science at Harvard U., John Woolley, “If you can figure some way to mobilize those pockets around the country, then maybe you can make some kind of impact in the election.” (Snedden) With 16 candidates in the race for presidency before the Iowa caucus, there is no way to crystal ball who is going to win the election this early. With that said, it is never too early to start researching what they’re all about, and Hilary Clinton, Rudy Giuliani, and Barack Obama are definitely top fore-runners in the vote. All the questions I mentioned above will undoubtedly be factored into the voting ballot, but the top question on my mind, and many voters’ minds, is what to do about Iraq.
Hilary Rodham Clinton
According to the CNN election poll, the leading Democratic candidate as of November 2007 is former first lady, Hilary Rodham Clinton. (Election Center) An avid supporter of abortion rights and a 700-mile fence along the US-Mexico border, Clinton is taking huge strides as one of the first women to be high in the race for presidency. As for the violation of our borders, Clinton would work to create a legal path to citizenship for illegal immigrants and allow them to receive Social Security benefits. On a more conservative note, Clinton is also in favor of a wall on the US-Mexican border, and of increased spending on Border Patrol. She does not support same sex marriage, although she does hold up civil unions and opposes a constitutional amendment gay marraige. On education, Clinton has proposed “America’s Better Classroom Act” and “The Healthy, High Performance Act of 2001.” Environmentally conscious, she has consistently voted to increase CAFE (Corporate Average Fuel Economy) standards, supports ethanol use, and she plans to double tax breaks on hybrid and clean diesel vehicles. Clinton’s health care plan requires that all Americans be covered through a variety of means: government programs, employers, and individual purchases. Her health care plan includes-among many other things-disease prevention for high-cost preventable diseases, allowance of more generic drugs to reduce the cost of prescription drugs, and legalization of the re-importation of drugs. Regarding the War on Terror, Clinton originally voted pro-war; however, she said that if she’d known then what she knows now, she would have voted differently. (As I’m sure many would love to go back in time.) She proposed the “Iraq Troop Protection and Reduction Act”, which would have redeployed the troops 90 days after it had passed, and left behind a small fleet in charge of keeping the area stable. In the CNN poll, Clinton pulled 40% of the votes, while Obama trailed behind with 30% and Giuliani lastly at 24%. Recently, Clinton has become aware of Obama’s heavy campaigning aimed toward voters ages 18-25. A study by the Washington Post said, “But now Senator Hilary Clinton is seeking to swim in that same pool of voters—unveiling a major push for young minds and basking in new poll results that show she is winning them over.” (Cillizza) If the youth turn out to be as powerful force as seems plausible, the struggle to win the novel minds’ satisfaction could turn into yet another political slugfest.
Rudy Giuliani
On the other side of the political spectrum is leading Republican candidate and former mayor of New York, Rudy Giuliani. In CNN’s latest poll, Giuliani pulled 24% of the votes, lagging behind Hilary Clinton. (Election Center) Giuliani’s view on immigration is not too different from Hilary’s; likewise, he believes that illegal immigrants should have the right to Social Security and food stamps, and that they should undergo a legal path to citizenship. Rudy argues for a “borders first” approach to the immigration dilemma. He believes that aliens must pay back taxes, speak English and learn United States history before gaining citizenship. Same sex marriage, he does not support. He does, however, support domestic partnerships. As mayor of New York, Giuliani lowered the student-teacher ratios and rid of the BOE, initiating instead a mayor-appointed Commissioner of Education. He has not taken a firm stand on the issue of alternate energy resources, stating vaguely that he supports ethanol, would subsidize hybrid vehicles, and would allow more exploration off the coasts for oil. It is peculiar, though, that he has accepted over twice the amount of his campaign dollars from oil and gas companies than any other source. When it comes to health care, this former member of the Department of Justice is anti-government. Giuliani thinks that any solution to a health care crisis, although he doesn’t think there is necessarily a crisis, is found in free markets, through offering tax exemptions up to 7,500 per individual and 15,000 per family. As for the “war” in Iraq, Giuliani avidly opposes setting a timetable for the removal of troops, and believes that failure in the Middle East will lead to a greater regional conflict. Unlike Clinton, Giuliani has stayed steadfast to his view in 2003, which was in support of the invasion of Afghanistan and Iraq; however, he acknowledges that mistakes have been made and that it could very well continue for many years to come.
Barack Obama
The second Democratic candidate that is giving Hilary a run for her money is Barack Obama. Obama supported Bush-backed legislation to provide a legal path to citizenship, improve border security technology, and construct a fence along the border of the United States and Mexico. Barack has been a key player in the immigration debate, proposing three amendments that were included in the Senate Immigration Reform Bill in 2006. These three amendments mandated that jobs be offered to American workers before foreign workers, require that all employers show proof of legality, and also fund for the FBI to conduct better background searches. Although he does not support same sex marriage, he also does not support a constitutional ban on the subject. Civil unions, he does, however, back. For his approach to education, Obama narrows in on funding and incentives for teachers. He also wishes to bridge the gap between middle income and low income students. As for his plan to reduce our dependence on foreign fuel sources and save the environment, Obama has a detailed one. Accordingly, fuel economy standards would increase 4% each year, a renewable diesel standard would be implemented, and people who use clean transportation fuels would enjoy tax breaks. This young candidate is also very prepared for his stance on health care, in which he proposes a three-point solution: coverage for all, modern techniques to increase efficiency and a core focus on preventative health. On all of these focal points, Obama knows how he is going to do it, including such ideas as expanding Medicaid to target all children, tracking disparities, and keeping electronic medical records. Barack Obama has been passionately opposed to the War on Terror ever since the beginning, and has proposed an amendment to set a timetable on the removal of troops from Iraq. Barack Obama seems to have a pretty comprehensive plan for each question, but the underlying question still lingers: does he have enough experience? This 41-year-old senator from Illinois is among the youngest of the political candidates. He taught constitutional law at the University of Chicago Law School and then became a senator in Illinois. Recently, Oprah Winfrey has started campaigning with Obama, giving speeches about his credence. “I don’t just love him. I respect him. I think he’s a fresh new voice in politics. I think what he can do for this country would be amazing,” Winfrey said. (Boedeker) Oprah could help Obama target the older, female audience from which Obama could use votes. Oprah doesn’t make Obama any stronger as a politician, she does, however, bring massive amounts of publicity, which thus makes people take a second look at his platform.
The Youth Force
With the primary elections coming up in January and the finals next November, there is time enough for anything to happen. Although the polls are forecasting Hilary Clinton right now, one wrong word could pale the support of thousands of Americans. Young people are stepping away from the shadow of their parents beliefs this election, and instead are being guided by a different code of justice; a report by the IOP said “Young people are driven by a strong moralistic streak — not so much on conservative social issues such as abortion and gay marriage, but on matters such as poverty, climate change, and the genocide in Darfur.” (Milligan) The Election of 2008 will decide the fate of our troops in Iraq. Do we send more in? Do we withdraw them immediately? Do we withdraw them gradually? Voters will ultimately decide by which candidate they choose. Senator Hilary Clinton proposed the “Iraq Troop Protection and Reduction Act”, which would have redeployed the troops 90 days after it had passed, and left behind a small fleet in charge of keeping the area stable. Senator Barack Obama would set a timetable on the removal of Iraq, to which Rudy Giuliani is passionately opposed. Giuliani believes we need to do what it takes to come out of Iraq successful, which would presumably depend on one’s interpretation of “successful.”In a poll I conducted via facebook and myspace of high school and college students, I found that the leading candidate thus far is Barack Obama, as shown in the table below. I was actually somewhat surprised to find that the poll turned out Democratic, since the majority of people I polled were from the relatively conservative town of Emerald Isle, North Carolina-or nearby anyway. When asked how closely their votes coincided with the views of their parents, 61% of these pollsters answered “somewhat”, compared with 23% who responded “not at all.” In another vote I conducted of eligible voters at Croatan High School, all the seventeen students asked if they planned on voting replied with “yes”. Ian Christine, a 19-year-old freshman at Fordham College, summarizes the feelings of most: “People checked out. And we got selfish. I realize now that there’s too much at stake around the world to check out.” (Milligan)
Choosing the correct candidate is not easy, especially when the differences in their platforms are so minute. Barack Obama and Hilary Clinton have very similar platforms, but will potentially be two very different presidents. Even the Republican, Giuliani, shares many of the same views on abortion, same sex marriage, and immigration. Harvard University’s Institute of Politics conducts ongoing polls and studies of America’s youth, and their views on politics. “The most interesting aspect of the survey relates less to candidate preferences than to the indication that young people are focusing on the issues facing America, and this cohort of nearly 30 million 18-24 year-olds is substantial and likely to have a significant impact in the upcoming election,” said IOP Director and former U.S. Representative (R-IA) James A. Leach. In Harvard’s study, the leading Democrat for youth voters is Barack Obama, and the leading Republican is Rudy Giuliani. 41% of 18-24 year olds say that they will definitely be voting in the primary elections, while 61% say they will definitely be voting in the general election next year. The events of the Bush administration and the United State’s current situation in Iraq has left many Americans politically uneasy, so it is good to see that instead of “checking out”, like Ian Christie said, young Americans (and probably most Americans) feel that they must do something about it.
On September 11, 2001, 2,974 American citizens-people like you and I-died. 3,800 soldiers have died in Iraq. An estimated 1, 220, 580 Iraqis have died violently since the war begun. Just how many is too many? One thing is for certain: The United States would be more than willing to pull out of the mess in Iraq-peacefully. Is it possible to pull out peacefully? If we did pull out, would it endanger our lives? I don’t know the answer to these questions, but I do know one thing: In honor of the lives lost on 9/11 and in Iraq, and in honor of our soldiers fighting overseas, I will not sit on my couch next November. I will be contributing to the youth force in the general election of 2008.